The Wire

Figures · not sermons

Fed releases. Treasury prints. Crowd-implied probabilities. Lane-tagged and matched to today's regime tape. Opinions live elsewhere.

Refreshes every 5 minutes · keyless baseline · FinanceLayer optional

Editorial position

Man is the only animal that deals in figures he has not verified - and opinions he has not earned. Bloomberg will charge you twenty-four thousand dollars a year and still demand your email. We charge nothing and demand nothing.

The Wire does not tell you what to think. It tells you what printed, what moved, and what money bet against the narrative. Pundits talk. Positions settle.

Sources: Federal Reserve · US Treasury · IMF · ECB · macro wire · Polymarket · Kalshi · FinanceLayer (optional)

The Wire

Editorial position

The Wire

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 0bps

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Bank of Eufaula and S N B Bancshares, Inc.

Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company

Federal Reserve Board requests comment on proposal to require certain payment stablecoin issuers to maintain an effective customer identification program

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting

Federal Reserve Board announces final rule that establishes data standards for certain information collections

Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will be released on Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT.

Agencies remove additional references to reputation risk

Editorial position

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 0bps

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Bank of Eufaula and S N B Bancshares, Inc.

Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company

Federal Reserve Board requests comment on proposal to require certain payment stablecoin issuers to maintain an effective customer identification program

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting

Federal Reserve Board announces final rule that establishes data standards for certain information collections

Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will be released on Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT.

Agencies remove additional references to reputation risk